Vitoria de Sernache vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
OPE
15%
23%
63%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 2
VIT
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
VIT
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
VIT
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
VIL
73%
17%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
57%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GDR
1 - 0
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
ANG
22%
21%
58%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |