Vitoria de Sernache vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
44.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
13º
12º
17
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
VIT
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
MOR
21%
22%
58%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 2
USA
18%
25%
58%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIT
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
PEN
48%
25%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UFT
2 - 1
COI
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
UFT
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAB
4 - 2
UFT
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UFT
0 - 1
GDF
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
UFT
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |