Vitoria de Sernache vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
CAL
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 1
VIT
70%
20%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
GDF
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BMA
1 - 0
VIT
89%
9%
2%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 1
SER
72%
18%
9%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
UDL
8%
18%
74%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 0
BEN
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PRA
3 - 1
UDL
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 3
UDL
20%
25%
56%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |