Vitoria de Sernache vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
VIT
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FUN
0 - 1
VIT
11%
17%
73%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
ANM
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 1
VIT
43%
22%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 1
BEN
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
10 - 0
GAV
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 1
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
UDL
10%
19%
72%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAS
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |