Vitoria de Sernache vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
POM
4 - 1
VIT
46%
24%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 1
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 5
PAM
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
ADN
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
BEN
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
BEN
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
OPE
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
BEN
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |