Vitoria de Sernache vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
USA
3 - 1
VIT
16%
18%
66%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
UDL
12%
21%
68%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
CAL
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 1
VIT
70%
20%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PRA
3 - 0
SER
74%
18%
9%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SER
2 - 1
FAR
5%
14%
81%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 1
SER
72%
18%
9%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
USA
82%
13%
6%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |