Vitoria de Sernache vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
OPE
15%
23%
63%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 2
VIT
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
VIT
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 4
TON
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BEN
37%
29%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 3
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SER
3 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |