Vitoria de Sernache vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
5 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
NAV
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
21%
67%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SER
5 - 2
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |