Vitoria de Sernache vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 2
VIT
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
VIT
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
VIT
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FUN
0 - 1
VIT
11%
17%
73%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 0
OLE
85%
12%
3%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
OPE
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 1
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |