Vitoria de Sernache vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
4 - 2
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
CRA
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIT
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
UDL
16%
22%
62%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
CRA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAV
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 0
ALC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
SER
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 0
NAV
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |