Vitoria de Sernache vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
13º
12º
21
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COI
2 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
LUS
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 1
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 3
VIA
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
GOU
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 5
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 67 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 0
GOU
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
GOU
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 0
UFT
11%
16%
73%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +5 |