Vitoria de Sernache vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
OLE
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIT
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 3
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
VIT
62%
20%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
3 - 1
ALC
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
CON
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
OLE
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |