Vitória Guimarães vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 3
VIT
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
BMA
58%
25%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 3
PAÇ
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
FCP
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VST
0 - 4
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |