Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 0
SPC
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GFC
2 - 2
VIT
10%
22%
68%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
EIN
2 - 3
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
POR
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
VST
0 - 2
VIT
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
7%
16%
77%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
SLB
4 - 0
FAM
85%
10%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
SLB
3 - 0
ZEN
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 4
SLB
10%
20%
70%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |