Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
RIO
58%
25%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 1
VIT
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 4
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
2 - 1
AEK
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
OLH
2 - 2
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |