Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIT
35%
27%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 3
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
BOA
0 - 0
VIT
68%
21%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCP
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2002 |
SLB
5 - 0
FAR
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
GFC
0 - 2
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
SLB
0 - 2
UDL
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 3
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |