Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
FAB
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 0
UFT
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
SLB
70%
16%
13%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SLB
0 - 0
SCP
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1969 |
SLB
1 - 3
AJA
69%
16%
15%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 1
VAR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |