Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
EST
4 - 0
VIT
73%
15%
12%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
21%
20%
60%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
0 - 0
VIT
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCB
51%
20%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
VIT
56%
20%
25%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ACA
2 - 0
ORI
73%
14%
13%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
EST
5 - 3
ACA
64%
18%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
25%
19%
56%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SCP
4 - 0
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 0
ATL
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |