Vitória Guimarães U15 vs Varzim U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.2%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.2%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
3º
2º
20
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ADB
0 - 5
VIT
4%
9%
88%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 3
BRA
36%
22%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
9%
13%
78%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAM
91%
6%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 2
VIT
6%
10%
84%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VRZ
4 - 0
PAL
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VRZ
2 - 0
ADB
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
8 - 2
VRZ
96%
3%
1%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VRZ
1 - 1
RIO
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
2 - 2
VRZ
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |