Vitória Guimarães B vs Valadares Gaia analysis

Vitória Guimarães B Valadares Gaia
42 ELO 41
7.9% Tilt -3.3%
4527º General ELO ranking 25672º
79º Country ELO ranking 570º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Vitória Guimarães B
24.7%
Draw
33.5%
Valadares Gaia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Vitória Guimarães B
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.5%
Win probability
Valadares Gaia
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Vitória Guimarães B
Their league position
Valadares Gaia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
14º
24
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Amarante
59
59
100%
São João Ver
45
45
100%
Gondomar
43
43
100%
AD Marco 09
41
41
100%
Rebordosa
36
36
100%
SC Salgueiros
35
35
0%
USC Paredes
35
35
0%
Vitória Guimarães B
34
34
0%
Beira Mar SC
34
34
0%
Florgrade FC
10º
33
33
10º
100%
Oliveira Douro
11º
26
26
11º
100%
Recreativa de Lamelas
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Valadares Gaia
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Vila Meã
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vitória Guimarães B
Valadares Gaia
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Vitória Guimarães B
Valadares Gaia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória Guimarães B
Vitória Guimarães B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
ACD
Recreativa de Lamelas
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães B
VSC
15%
18%
66%
40 21 19 0
28 Jan. 2024
VSC
Vitória Guimarães B
1 - 1
Amarante
AMA
25%
26%
49%
39 51 12 +1
21 Jan. 2024
VIL
Vila Meã
1 - 2
Vitória Guimarães B
VSC
32%
22%
46%
38 33 5 +1
14 Jan. 2024
VSC
Vitória Guimarães B
2 - 0
Rebordosa
REB
34%
26%
40%
36 44 8 +2
07 Jan. 2024
SAO
São João Ver
0 - 0
Vitória Guimarães B
VSC
57%
24%
20%
35 43 8 +1

Matches

Valadares Gaia
Valadares Gaia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
VAL
Valadares Gaia
2 - 1
Amarante
AMA
23%
27%
50%
40 51 11 0
28 Jan. 2024
REB
Rebordosa
1 - 0
Valadares Gaia
VAL
43%
26%
31%
41 43 2 -1
20 Jan. 2024
VAL
Valadares Gaia
1 - 4
USC Paredes
PAR
55%
26%
20%
43 40 3 -2
14 Jan. 2024
ADM
AD Marco 09
3 - 1
Valadares Gaia
VAL
15%
18%
66%
45 24 21 -2
07 Jan. 2024
VAL
Valadares Gaia
1 - 3
Oliveira Douro
ODO
63%
21%
16%
45 31 14 0