Vitória Guimarães B vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
5º
2º
6
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 6 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ADM
1 - 1
VSC
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 2
VSC
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
LEC
1 - 2
VSC
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VSC
3 - 2
ADM
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
VSC
3 - 3
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
LEC
2 - 5
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
ADM
3 - 2
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
LEC
1 - 2
VSC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 0
LEC
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LEC
1 - 0
ADM
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |