Vitória Guimarães B vs AD Marco 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
14º
8º
41
4º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GON
1 - 1
VSC
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VSC
0 - 0
ODO
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BMA
1 - 5
VSC
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VSC
3 - 1
SAL
19%
20%
61%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +5 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
VSC
75%
17%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 1
ADM
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ODO
0 - 1
ADM
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ADM
0 - 1
SAL
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 0
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
ADM
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |