Vitesse vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
HER
2 - 2
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 1
FEY
21%
22%
58%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
UTR
2 - 4
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
EIN
4 - 2
VIT
29%
23%
48%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 2
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 0
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
HFC
1 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 0
RJC
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |