Vitesse vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
GRO
4 - 3
VIT
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 0
HER
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
ARG
1 - 3
VIT
23%
23%
55%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 1
RJC
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
FLE
0 - 2
WIL
20%
21%
60%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |