Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 5-3
Vitesse vs Viitorul Constanţa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 2
VIT
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 0
LOK
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 2
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
SHA
4 - 1
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
WOL
2 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Viitorul Constanţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
VIT
27%
26%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 2
VIT
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 1
DUN
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
RAC
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
RAC
0 - 2
VIT
20%
22%
59%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |