Vitesse vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 1
NSM
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BVO
1 - 6
VIT
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
AZA
32%
25%
44%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
REN
3 - 3
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
VIT
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
FEY
2 - 1
HER
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
F95
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |