Vitesse vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
RBC
0 - 3
VIT
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VIT
3 - 1
ADO
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
RJC
3 - 2
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
VIT
3 - 3
APE
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
HER
0 - 2
NEC
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
HER
0 - 4
TWE
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 0
HER
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
HER
0 - 2
RKC
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |