Vitesse vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 0
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ADO
0 - 0
VIT
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCE
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
VIT
33%
24%
44%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
59%
20%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GRO
2 - 1
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
AJA
7 - 0
SPA
88%
10%
3%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BRU
1 - 3
AJA
26%
23%
52%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |