Vitesse U23 vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 0
VIT
14%
18%
68%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 0
VIT
17%
19%
64%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
QUI
80%
13%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 2
HBS
76%
14%
9%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UNA
1 - 0
VIT
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 1
USV
8%
13%
80%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
USV
2 - 1
GRA
55%
22%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
USV
0 - 0
HBS
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BLA
3 - 3
USV
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
USV
2 - 1
HSC
46%
23%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |