Viterbese vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
VIT
41%
29%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
RPO
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
4 - 0
BIS
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 2
TRA
21%
25%
55%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
USV
1 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 3
TRA
13%
22%
66%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
MAT
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
4 - 1
PAG
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 1
USV
23%
26%
52%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |