Viterbese vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 0
GAV
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GER
0 - 0
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
PIS
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARZ
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 0
MAT
27%
26%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JUS
1 - 1
PAG
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 0
AKR
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
PAG
0 - 2
NUO
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |