Lega Pro Relegation Playoffs Final
Global 2-1
Viterbese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
VIT
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
VIT
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 1
VIT
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
REG
20%
26%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
VIT
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 1
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
OLB
32%
28%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
REG
14%
25%
61%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 1
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |