Viterbese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
USF
0 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCC
39%
31%
30%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
BEN
0 - 1
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 0
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
VIT
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
GIU
36%
29%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
FER
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FER
0 - 1
USF
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
BEN
0 - 0
FER
53%
27%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |