Viterbese Calcio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
PON
3 - 0
VIT
54%
26%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
ORV
61%
22%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TOD
1 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 1
DER
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 0
SSD
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
1 - 0
ACS
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
1 - 2
PON
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
SSD
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |