Vitebsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
14º
9º
14
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 27 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
VIT
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VIT
0 - 1
BAT
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FKS
0 - 0
VIT
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 0
FKS
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 1
GOM
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
NAF
2 - 2
DIN
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 2
NAF
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
DNP
6 - 2
NAF
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
ISL
0 - 1
NAF
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
NAF
2 - 0
ORS
60%
20%
19%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |