Vitebsk II vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitebsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
OSI
4 - 2
VBK
51%
22%
28%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
VBK
3 - 1
MIO
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
MOL
3 - 1
VBK
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
VBK
2 - 2
FCS
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
VBK
0 - 1
DNE
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
SMO
3 - 0
DIN
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SMO
1 - 1
NEM
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
OSI
1 - 5
SMO
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
SMO
9 - 1
MIO
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
MOL
0 - 5
SMO
58%
22%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |