V.Châtillon vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V.Châtillon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
VCH
0 - 0
BOI
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
IVR
2 - 1
VCH
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VCH
3 - 0
IFS
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VCH
4 - 1
OIS
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
DRO
3 - 4
VCH
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
ANG
58%
26%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAS
34%
27%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 1
SED
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
AMI
1 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
MPL
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |