AC Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 8
VIR
17%
22%
60%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
FAE
3 - 1
VIR
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 1
COS
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
TFI
30%
25%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 2
TFI
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TFI
0 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TFI
4 - 1
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TFI
1 - 0
DOM
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |