AC Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CAI
1 - 2
VIR
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 2
DOM
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
1 - 0
VIR
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
1 - 2
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
TFI
3 - 1
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
SGI
3 - 4
TFI
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
TFI
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
FOL
0 - 3
TFI
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |