AC Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
DOM
2 - 2
VIR
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
FAE
0 - 6
VIR
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
COS
5 - 2
VIR
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
TFI
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TFI
2 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
TFI
3 - 3
FAE
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
TFI
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 2
SGI
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |