UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 1-11
AC Virtus vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TPE
0 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIR
4 - 1
SGI
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 3
VIR
7%
18%
75%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 2
VIR
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
STB
3 - 0
HUN
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 2
STB
36%
25%
40%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
APE
0 - 8
STB
7%
15%
78%
|
78 | 35 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
STB
46%
24%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STB
0 - 1
CLU
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |