AC Virtus vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
8º
4º
25
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 2
VIR
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 1
FAE
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 1
TFI
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIR
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
COS
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
TPE
19%
24%
58%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 3
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
FIO
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 1
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |