AC Virtus vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 4
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 2
FIO
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
COS
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TPE
3 - 1
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
FIO
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TFI
4 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 4
TPE
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 1
MUR
59%
23%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |