AC Virtus vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
52%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
VIR
3 - 1
SGI
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
VIR
7 - 0
FIO
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
VIR
2 - 1
DOM
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
MUR
2 - 1
TFI
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
MUR
0 - 2
COS
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
FAE
3 - 0
MUR
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |