AC Virtus vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 0
SGI
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 3
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DOM
1 - 1
LIB
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 4
FOL
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 2
MUR
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |