AC Virtus vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 1
JUV
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
VIR
3 - 1
SGI
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
FOL
3 - 5
VIR
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
VIR
3 - 1
FIO
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
CAI
0 - 0
VIR
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 0
TPE
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
COS
0 - 6
LIB
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |