AC Virtus vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VIR
0 - 0
GSD
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
VIR
2 - 0
SGI
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
MUR
3 - 3
VIR
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VIR
0 - 1
COS
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
JUV
0 - 4
VIR
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
LIB
3 - 2
JUV
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
41%
25%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
GSD
1 - 2
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
LIB
2 - 1
FAE
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |