AC Virtus vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 4
TPE
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 0
VIR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 0
SGI
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 4
FIO
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
CAI
2 - 2
FOL
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 1
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 0
LIB
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
FOL
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |