AC Virtus vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 0
VIR
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIR
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
3 - 1
FIO
86%
11%
4%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
TFI
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
COS
2 - 5
FOL
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FOL
0 - 4
DOM
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
FOL
0 - 3
JUV
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
TPE
1 - 0
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
FIO
2 - 2
FOL
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |