AC Virtus vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 5
VIR
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 3
VIR
17%
22%
60%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 2
FAE
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FOL
1 - 2
SGI
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 4
FOL
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
CAI
3 - 1
FOL
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 3
DOM
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FAE
0 - 4
FOL
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |